As preparations for Nigeria’s 2027 general elections gather momentum, political activities across the country are intensifying, marked by defections, internal party crises and emerging power struggles within both opposition and ruling parties.
Beyond party disputes, a major trend drawing attention is the gradual weakening of political godfatherism, as several governors increasingly assert independence from the powerful figures who helped install them in office.
Traditionally, godfathers play decisive roles in determining electoral outcomes through influence, resources and political structures. However, recent developments suggest that many protégés are now breaking away from these arrangements, often triggering intense political confrontations.
Kano: Kwankwaso and Abba Yusuf Rift
In Kano State, tensions have escalated between Governor Abba Kabir Yusuf and his political mentor, Senator Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso, leader of the NNPP. The crisis centres on reports that Yusuf may defect to the APC, a move Kwankwaso is said to oppose strongly.
Despite opposition from his mentor, political insiders claim preparations for Yusuf’s possible defection are advanced, with a decision expected soon. The fallout has divided Kano’s political structure, with party leaders, commissioners and lawmakers openly taking sides.
The crisis has also led to leadership changes within the NNPP, with the removal of the party’s state chairman, reportedly loyal to Kwankwaso. Supporters of Governor Yusuf argue that joining the ruling party would benefit Kano, particularly in attracting federal projects.
Kaduna: El-Rufai and Uba Sani Face Off
In Kaduna State, a similar clash has played out between former governor Nasir El-Rufai and his successor, Governor Uba Sani. The rift became public when Sani accused El-Rufai’s administration of leaving behind severe financial challenges, claims El-Rufai denied.
The Kaduna State House of Assembly later accused El-Rufai’s government of financial impropriety, prompting calls for investigations. While El-Rufai has since moved to the ADC, Sani remains in the APC, with political observers expecting their rivalry to shape the 2027 contest.
Jigawa: Quiet Tension Builds
In Jigawa State, tensions between Governor Umar Namadi and his predecessor, Badaru Abubakar, have remained largely subdued but continue to grow. Political analysts in the state predict a major confrontation as the 2027 elections approach.
Rivers: Wike–Fubara Power Struggle
In Rivers State, the long-running crisis between former governor Nyesom Wike and his successor, Governor Siminalayi Fubara, has evolved into a deep political standoff involving the State Assembly and local government structures.
Although attempts at reconciliation were made after Fubara’s suspension and the appointment of an acting administrator, tensions persist. Fubara’s defection to the APC was seen as a strategic move to end the conflict, but recent developments—including impeachment threats—suggest the rivalry remains unresolved.
A Familiar Pattern
Godfather-protégé clashes are not new in Nigerian politics. Historical examples include disputes between Aminu Kano and Abubakar Rimi in Kano, Lamidi Adedibu and Rashidi Ladoja in Oyo, and several similar conflicts in Sokoto State.
Experts React
Political analysts say godfatherism undermines democratic governance. Professor Kamilu Sani Fage of Bayero University, Kano, described the decline of godfather influence as healthy for democracy, noting that such arrangements often collapse due to self-interest rather than public service.
However, others argue that godfatherism remains unavoidable. Some political actors insist mentorship and backing are essential in Nigeria’s political system, warning that conflicts arise when trust breaks down.
Looking Ahead to 2027
As Nigeria moves closer to the 2027 elections, analysts expect more confrontations between political godfathers and their former allies. Whether this trend marks the end of godfatherism or simply a reconfiguration of power remains uncertain, but it is clear that political loyalty is increasingly fragile and authority more contested than ever.
